...at least until they catch another referee on the take. Until then, my predictions are:
Eastern Conference
Atlantic Division
1. Toronto Raptors. This team is surprisingly good. They were put together to be the Phoenix Suns of the East, and they're not too far away from that goal. I think they would shoot the lights out against...
2. Boston Celtics. Kevin Garnett is really good, but I am concerned about their perimeter defense against today's slash-and-kick NBA offenses.
3. New Jersey Nets. They're good, but they just didn't get any better over the summer. Vince Carter has had ample time to prove he can carry a team like this to a ring, and it seems clear that he cannot.
4. New York Knicks. When they're at home, they're going to get blown out a lot. But you already knew that after Stephon Marbury testified in the Anucha Browne Sanders trial.
5. Philadelphia 76ers. Maurice Cheeks is one of the league's best human beings, but he's not the best coach. And even if he were, it would take a lot to turn this ragtag bunch around.
Central Division
1. Chicago Bulls. The Lakers want Luol Deng, Ben Gordon, Tyrus Thomas and Joakim Noah for Kobe. You know what? I'd say no to that also. Each one of those guys is perfect in his own way for this team.
2. Detroit Pistons. How much longer does this team stay together? When things go downhill for them, they'll go way downhill, and fast. I don't know that it will happen this year, though.
3. Cleveland Cavaliers. People make the Jordan comparison, but in the Bulls' title years, the supporting cast was Scottie Pippen and a bunch of guys who didn't make a lot of mistakes. The non-Pippen guys may not have been great, but they never beat themselves. Lebron doesn't have a Pippen, and he definitely doesn't have guys who can keep from beating themselves.
4. Indiana Pacers. They'll be better under Jim O'Brien, but I just can't see them beating the three teams above them in the division.
5. Milwaukee Bucks. Just call him LOLianjian. Chairman Yi (as Bill Simmons has dubbed him) is not ready for the NBA and won't be for a few years. Problem is, they've promised him 20 minutes a night.
Southeast Division
1. Orlando Magic. Dwight Howard shot 45% from the free throw line last season. He made 8 of 10 free throws on opening night. Be afraid. Be very afraid.
2. Washington Wizards. They have the wing talent to win the division, and Gilbert Arenas is back with a vengeance. But, they do not have a defense that can stop Dwight Howard.
3. Miami Heat. Dwayne Wade is going to have to change his style, or his future in the NBA will be short and injury-plagued. Also, Shaq is close to done. I can't see him playing three more years.
4. Atlanta Hawks. They're young enough and athletic enough to leapfrog Miami if Wade gets hurt. But if Wade stays healthy, I can't see them displaying the maturity and playing the defense they would need to do that.
5. Charlotte Bobcats. Now we get to see what Jason Richardson is really made of. I say it's fool's gold.
Western Conference
Northwest Division
1. Utah Jazz. They've proven they can play defense well enough to win the division. That makes them the smart pick over...
2. Denver Nuggets. They looked awesome on opening night, but it was against Seattle. Fact is, their support cast has a lot of question marks, either in terms of health (Kenyon Martin, Marcus Camby, Nene, all their point guards) or talent (somebody Yahkuba Diawara). Still, do not discount how hungry Allen Iverson is and how badly Carmelo wants to be where Lebron and Dwayne Wade have already been.
3. Seattle Supersonics. Hey, somebody has to finish third. Smart coaching from P.J. Carlesimo could get them there. By the way, Kevin Durant scored more points in his first game than Tim Duncan, Shaquille O'Neal, and Michael Jordan did in theirs.
4. Portland Trailblazers. You read it here first: Greg Oden, draft bust. He'll be lucky if he even compares to Sam Bowie.
5. Minnesota Timberwolves. Hey world, meet Al Jefferson. He's not bad. The rest of the team is, and so is their coach.
Pacific Division
1. Phoenix Suns. They'll run away with the division - literally - but they've lost a lot of bench depth in the last few years. Also, Grant Hill does not shoot the three well enough to play in this offense, and Shawn Marion is unhappy. I see them having the third-best record in the conference.
2. Golden State Warriors. Look at the other three teams in this division. The Lakers are in turmoil, the Clippers are hurt, and Sacramento is awful. It's their time to put up or shut up.
3. Los Angeles Lakers They could actually be decent if they got the four-guys-for-Kobe package from Chicago, but there is no way in hell the Bulls are doing that.
4. Sacramento Kings. At least their most important guys are healthy. That's more than can be said of...
5. Los Angeles Clippers Elton Brand is out most of the season. Shaun Livingston's career could be over. Sam Cassell is likely to demand a trade to a contender. Everybody else is unhappy. They'll be playing for the number 1 lottery pick.
Southwest Division
1. Dallas Mavericks. This is a team built to have the best record in the NBA over the course of a season, and I expect them to do that.
2. San Antonio Spurs. This is a team built to win back-to-back NBA titles, and I expect them to do that.
3. Houston Rockets. Everyone always says, "if Yao and McGrady stay healthy for a full season..." but does anyone expect it to happen? Still, they're well-coached and the supporting cast is solid. Expect more wins than last year.
4. New Orleans Hornets. Man, this division is brutal. They could challenge for first place in the Southeast or Northwest, Chris Paul is that good. Also, having a full-time home will help them immensely. If Tyson Chandler plays like the star it was once thought he could be, they'll make the playoffs.
5. Memphis Grizzlies. Rudy Gay may well be their best player by the time the season's over. If Gay proves to be less soft than a bean bag chair, he'll have exceeded Pao Gasol. |